Q1 Newsletter March 31, 2025

Interesting times, indeed

In 1958, Queen Elizabeth II and Vice President Richard Nixon officially opened the Moses-Saunders Power Dam in the St. Lawrence River between northern New York State and eastern Ontario. The ceremony marked the culmination of a proposal developed in 1951 both to generate power from the river and to develop the waterway to enable shipping from the Great Lakes to the Atlantic.

The project marked a unique partnership between Canada and the US to develop shared waters and do it in a way that both countries would benefit. In the early history of Canada and the US, the waters of the Great Lakes and the St. Lawrence represented the greatest part of the border between the two countries. Over the course of almost 150 years a series of treaties – initially between Britain and the US and subsequently between Canada and the US – moved the relationship from de-armament to close cooperation.

The Rush-Bagot Treaty of 1818 was intended to de-militarize the Great Lakes. The Treaty of Washington in 1871 resolved a number of outstanding disputes, including fisheries on the Great Lakes, between the US and Britain, arising from British support for the Confederacy during the Civil War. Finally, in 1909, Canada and the US concluded the Boundary Waters Treaty to enable joint management of the shared waters. The Treaty established the International Joint Commission, which today oversees the power dam and the St. Lawrence Seaway.

The framework of those historic agreements between the United States and what came to be Canada was the basis of the construction of the St. Lawrence Seaway and the Moses-Saunders Power Dam. The dam was built between 1954 and 1958 and straddles the Canada-US border in the middle of the St. Lawrence River. It provides 912 MW of power to New York State and 1,045 MW to Ontario. Canadian and American authorities divide management of the facilities between them.

The Moses-Saunders Power Dam is by no means unique in the North American energy sector. In addition to shared generating facilities, Canada supplies the United States with substantial electricity exports. In the period 2019 to 2024, according to the Canadian Energy Regulator (CER), net exports were as much as 57.9 TWh/yr. It is a trade that balances demand and supply in both countries.

That trade is replicated elsewhere in the Canadian energy sector. The CER reports that between 2019 and 2024, Canada exported 490 million cubic metres per day (3.1 million barrels per day) of heavy crude and 126 million cubic metres per day (0.8 million barrels per day) of light crude. Much of the heavy crude is exported to US refineries that were designed or re-fitted specifically to take Canadian crude oil.

None of these observations will be news to anyone with knowledge of the Canadian energy sector. It is characteristic of Canadian industries that they are coordinated or integrated with US industries. The countries have served as a model of how two independent economies can function closely together to benefit both nations.

The assumptions underlying that coordination have recently been called into question by the US administration. These will be challenging – and possibly painful – times until a new arrangement can be settled. However, it is difficult to envision a new structural arrangement that would increase the mutual benefits beyond those which our two countries have enjoyed historically.

ECC ACTIVITIES

Canada Energy Update and Canadian Energy Person of the Year

On 6 February 2025 the Energy Council of Canada held two major events in Vancouver. In the afternoon, energy sector leaders and commentators came together for the Canada Energy Update to discuss the year past and what the future could bring. In the evening, energy leaders, indigenous community leaders, and admirers of Chief Councillor Crystal Smith of the Haisla Nation celebrated the presentation of the award for Canadian Energy Person of the Year for 2024.

Canada Energy Update 2025

In the afternoon of 6 February 2025, the Energy Council of Canada held its annual half-day, review and forecast conference, Canada Energy Update. The event brought together 7 commentators from industry associations, energy companies, and academia. Over 60 people registered to attend the conference and participate in the discussion.

The presentations reviewed the recent history of the energy sector and looked ahead to 2025 and beyond. A number of important influences are expected to come to bear on the Canadian energy sector in both the near-term and long-term future.

Among the issues raised during the afternoon were:

  • The expected dramatic increase in energy demand from existing and, especially, new sources.
  • The continuing electrification of the Canadian economy.
  • The resulting requirement for a significant energy infrastructure expansion in the country.
    • Are Canadian regulatory systems adequately coordinated, resourced, and designed to provide the timely decisions necessary for investors and project developers to determine the commercial viability of their projects?
    • Can the energy sector attract the capital necessary to meet the anticipated demand?
    • How are we preparing for the generational shift in human resources and expertise necessary to meet the security, reliability, and affordability expectations of Canadian consumers?
    • What will be necessary to meet the existential changes in export markets?

Speakers at CEU 2025

Organization
Speaker
Canadian Gas Association
Tim Egan
Electricity Canada
Francis Bradley
Canadian Hydrogen Association
Todd Romaine
Electricity Human Resources Canada
Anita Gara
Toyota Canada
Scott MacKenzie
Founding Chair, Positive Energy, U of Ottawa
Monica Gattinger
United States Energy Association
Mark Menezes

Canadian Energy Person of the Year for 2024 - Chief Councillor Crystal Smith

On Thursday evening, 6 February 2025, leaders of Canada’s energy sector came together to honour Chief Councillor Crystal Smith of the Haisla Nation as the Canadian Energy Person of the Year for 2024. Chief Smith is also Chair of the First Nations LNG Alliance. She has been instrumental in positioning the Haisla Nation as majority owner of the Cedar LNG project on BC’s coast.

The Pan Pacific Hotel’s Crystal Pavilion Ballroom contained upward of 250 guests to express their support and admiration for the guest of honour. The event attracted 15 sponsors from companies and other energy organizations.

Colleagues, friends, and family either sent video greetings or spoke in person at the event, which was presided over by Howard Shearer, Chair of the Energy Council of Canada. Chief Smith spoke movingly of the challenges and sacrifices she has had to make to not simply move the project forward, but do it in such a way as to ensure that the Nation she leads can benefit and flourish from this opportunity.

Mr. Shearer and Canadian Energy Person of the Year for 2023, Nancy Southern, presented the award to Chief Smith.

IN THE NEWS

CAPP President Lisa Baiton Responds to US Tariffs

The president of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, Lisa Baiton, released a statement in early March on the tariffs imposed by the US on Canadian oil and gas. She stated that the relationship with our closest friend, ally, and trading partner has fundamentally changed. She noted that Canada’s greatest competitive advantage through economic cycles is our energy advantage. Miss Baiton called for a renewed regulatory framework that can enable the construction of projects that can serve more diverse export markets as a durable response to the challenges the tariffs pose. CAPP

Waterpower Canada Condemns US Tariffs on Electricity Imported from Canada

Waterpower Canada, the voice of the hydroelectricity producers in Canada, opposes the tariffs the US is imposing on electricity from Canada. The action runs counter to traditional efforts to integrate power between the two countries. In addition to its impact on electricity consumers – residential, commercial, and industrial – the measure frustrates the ability of clean, renewable hydropower to offset the closure of emissions-producing generation in the US. Electricity Canada

Oil and Gas CEOs Urge Use of Emergency Powers to Strengthen Canadian Energy Security

The leaders of major companies in the Canadian oil and gas industry have sent an open letter to the leaders of the 4 major political parties. The letter, entitled “Build Canada Now”, calls for the declaration of a national energy crisis. They believe this can be addressed through several measures to enhance the development of the energy sector, which they claim will provide domestic and international benefits and help to protect Canadian sovereignty.

The authors call for simplification of the regulatory regime of the Impact Assessment Act, combined with a firm 6-month deadline for decisions on projects, as well as removal of the emissions cap on large emissions and help support Indigenous investment in energy projects. Build Canada Now 

Cedar LNG Project Set to Benefit from Strategic Innovation Fund

The Cedar LNG Project is eligible to receive up to $200 million in support from the federal Strategic Innovation Fund. The project is majority-owned by the Haisla Nation of British Columbia. Pembina Pipeline Corporation has a minority stake in the project, which is expected to be operational in 2028. The project will be a unique floating facility to liquefy natural gas from Alberta and ship LNG to Asian markets. Cedar LNG is expected to make significant progress in the plans of energy businesses to diversity energy market access. Calgary Herald